{"id":210,"date":"2017-01-05T01:39:39","date_gmt":"2017-01-05T01:39:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ajhassoc.com\/?p=210"},"modified":"2017-05-17T01:39:55","modified_gmt":"2017-05-17T01:39:55","slug":"the-long-and-winding-road-to-the-hawaii-guidelines","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ajhassoc.com\/index.php\/2017\/01\/05\/the-long-and-winding-road-to-the-hawaii-guidelines\/","title":{"rendered":"The Long and Winding Road to the Hawaii Guidelines"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Unbeknownst to me the new Hawaii \u201cGuidelines for Project Level Travel Forecasting\u201d report was posted on web by the BTS.\u00a0 I just now saw it there.\u00a0 At the risk of a bit of self-promotion let me say that this report is really worth reading or referencing.\u00a0 It is a customized and entirely rewritten version of much of the salient material contained in NCHRP Report 765.\u00a0 I will try to explain its significance and how it came into being.<\/p>\n

The report was conceived by Goro Sulijoadikusumo of Hawaii DOT.\u00a0 He approached me with the idea shortly after the 1999 Irvine Conference on statewide travel forecasting.\u00a0 HDOT needed a local principal investigator, so we recruited Panos Prevedouros to lead the project.\u00a0 Panos and I wrote a proposal for funding, and everything was set to begin when Linda Lingle was elected governor, freezing a number of HDOT contracts for a time.\u00a0 Goro moved on to other endeavors, and our idea went into deep hibernation.\u00a0 After a couple false starts and several snafus, mostly due to conflicts when one state government signs a contract with another state government, we were ready to begin in 2012.\u00a0 By that time the NCHRP 8-83 project was well underway.<\/p>\n

NCHRP Project 8-83 resulted in NCHRP Report 765, Analytical Travel Forecasting Approaches for Project-Level Planning and Design.<\/em>\u00a0 NCHRP Report 765 turned out very well because of dedicated efforts by our team under the leadership of Rob Bostrom.\u00a0 Rob needed to juggle the wants of a large review panel, eight or so co-authors and a number of onlookers.\u00a0 The scope of the project was huge and the resources were not as ample as we thought going in.\u00a0 There were some things that I would have done differently, given another chance and the Hawaii project presented that chance.<\/p>\n

NCHRP Report 765 addressed a large and varied audience, so it made a lot of suggestions but mandated nothing.\u00a0 The report is big and some important concepts are difficult to find and grasp.\u00a0 It was perhaps too light on time-series techniques.\u00a0 Finally, there was no easy way to reconcile the variety of writing styles of the many co-authors.<\/p>\n

I vowed that the Hawaii report would be pithier and more assertive.\u00a0 We ditched all elements of NCHRP Report 765 that were there because a tiny portion of its audience may have wanted it.\u00a0 And we streamlined what remained.\u00a0 We had constant communication with HDOT throughout to make sure it remained relevant.\u00a0 HDOT wanted more content on time-series and a \u201cpivot\u201d method that somehow disappeared from NCHRP Report 765 before being published.\u00a0 Panos and I maintained strong editorial control.<\/p>\n

Both Panos and Goro were delightful to work with and I truly regret that this may be our first and last project together.\u00a0 Panos and Goro constantly bickered like an old married couple, but the report is all the better for it.<\/p>\n

So if you are looking for an excellent, accessible treatise on project-level travel forecasting, check out the Hawaii report.\u00a0 I\u2019ve put a link to it on the Project-Level page of the ajhassoc.com web site.<\/p>\n

Alan Horowitz,\u00a0 Whitefish Bay, January 4, 2017<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Unbeknownst to me the new Hawaii \u201cGuidelines for Project Level Travel Forecasting\u201d report was posted on web by the BTS.\u00a0 I just now saw it there.\u00a0 At the risk of a bit of self-promotion let me say that this report is really worth reading or referencing.\u00a0 It is a customized and entirely rewritten version of …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-210","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-project-level-forecasting","anons"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Long and Winding Road to the Hawaii Guidelines - 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