Perspectives on COVID-19 from a Transportation Planner

There is a lot of misinformation about the novel coronavirus, and the crisis has been overly politicized.  Responses by governments have been fragmented and uncoordinated.  Many bad decisions have been made, and many bad decisions will continue to be made.  My two engineering degrees are in the area of civil systems analysis, and I can find no systems thinking in any of the governmental actions so far.  My other degree is in planning, and what little epidemic planning I can discern has shown to be woefully inadequate.  At this writing just about all decision making related to the pandemic is impulsive and reactive. 

There is a lot of hysteria out there. I see it in stores; I hear it from friends and relatives.  I am able to be somewhat more circumspect than many, since I am a COVID-19 survivor.  From news reports, I figured I was the 12th confirmed case of COVID-19 in Wisconsin and I was the first person here to have been cleared.  My symptoms were quite mild, masked by a drug reaction I was experiencing at the time, but my wife, Shirley, was slammed rather hard.  She has recovered, but her recovery period was much longer than mine. 

The reason for my mild symptoms at my advanced age is a guess.  It could have been dumb luck.  Slightly more likely, it might have had to do with the anti-malarial drug I had been taking for a while after my return from Kenya and during the possible front end my illness.  Even more likely was my rather good cardio conditioning (see note below) for an old guy (I am 72).  As it turns out, my anti-malarial drug, not the one touted by our President, has strong antiviral properties.  Few people knew or cared.  Researchers are now looking closely at this drug, but its efficacy remains unproven for COVID-19.  What has been proven is that people in good physical health have better outcomes than people in poor health.  At the time I was tested for COVID-19 my blood oxygen level was 100%. 

People are dying in large numbers because they do not have the stamina to cope with COVID-19.  This is where us transportation professionals can contribute the most. 

Now is the time to push very hard for more progress in nonmotorized transportation.  We need enough sidewalks, multi-use trails, bike lanes, and safe pavements for people to travel just about anywhere by walking, cycling, skate boards, or roller skates. (Look below for a personal story about the need for safe pavements for cyclists.)  We need neighborhoods that are safe and comfortable for walking. Most people are busy, and they need all the help they can get to lead healthy life styles.  We need facilities (lockers, showers, and secure storage areas) at workplaces to encourage rigorous physical activity. 

We often pay lip service to the cycling community in our long-range transportation plans.  We need to expand those sections of plans, accelerate their implementation, and take them seriously. 

As planners we must push for better epidemic planning, to the extent we can. 

For you personally, at the minimum, please follow an exercise routine suggested by the American Heart Association of “150 minutes per week of moderate-intensity aerobic activity or 75 minutes per week of vigorous aerobic activity, or a combination of both” spread throughout each week.  Even if you have tried before and were unsuccessful, this pandemic should give you further motivation.  Start losing those pounds you promised yourself you would lose.  You must exercise like your life depends on it, because it does. 

(See Shirley’s weight loss story below.) 

Stay well. 

Alan Horowitz, Whitefish Bay, April 1, 2020 

Note on Alan’s workout:  I do 1 full hour of stationary bike riding each day, with resistances equivalent to climbing continuously uphill at grades between +2% to +5%.  (It took me almost 2 years to get to this point, so don’t try to do it yourself without consulting with a trainer and/or doctor.)  I will skip all or some of the stationary bike riding on days I can do a long bike ride outside.  I also do strength training, mostly upper body, on 11 different weight machines, about 2 to 3 times a week.  I always do 2 sets for each muscle group:  a warm-up set of 10 reps at 67% weight, then a final set of as many reps as possible (usually 12 to 24) at full weight.  The strength training goes fast – maybe 40-45 minutes.  When my health club re-opens, I will likely need to drop down a plate or two on all the machines, since I have not lifted anything heavy since I traveled to Kenya at the beginning of February.  My body weight is the same as when I was a senior in college.  I am not an advocate of extreme thinness; people my age should retain enough body fat to sustain them through a prolonged illness.  My BMI is 23. 

Why Alan wants safe pavements for cyclists:  On August 8, 2016, I hit a pothole while I was cycling downhill.  I fell and crushed my right shoulder.  The cost of fixing the pothole:  maybe $10.  The retail cost of my medical care:  maybe $50,000.  I spent 4 days hospitalized and another 9 months in physical therapy.  Cyclists need good pavements.  Incidentally, I was wearing a helmet; otherwise, I would not be writing this blog post right now. 

Shirley’s weight loss story:  Shirley had a weight-loss goal that she wasn’t achieving.  Then she got COVID-19.  Shirley could not eat solid food for two full weeks.  She lost that weight.  This is not a recommended method. 

Comments 5

  • Thanks for the information, Alan! My colleague here at UT Austin (biologist Lauren Ancel-Meyers, who has spent decades simulation the spread) probably knew this day was coming, and Hollywood movie-makers apparently knew how it emerge. Will we break free of this, or get used to a high mortality rate, as CoVid morphs from year to year? I’d hate to see this be the new normal, though I’d love to see the natural environment get a permanent and significant break from humans’ excessive consumption patterns (I’m reading that land development, including forest clearing & road building, & now climate change have killed off over 50% of all animal life in the past 50 yrs).

  • Sorry to hear you and your wife caught the virus but so glad to hear that you both recovered.

  • Good thoughts, I live in a state that has been requiring pedestrian sidewalks and bike lanes in all new construction (transportation facilities and subdivisions) for almost 40 years, so many people have a good environment.
    There is a confounding problem when considering walking/biking for purposes such as shopping – people can get the exercise, but this works where there is mixed use and density which works against social distancing (extreme example is New York). Public transport is also a negative environment, we need different solutions for those who are “transit captive”, particularly in most of lower density America where transit is probably more expensive to provide per ride than, say, Uber/Lyft. Planners need to do a lot of rethinking and a more honest fact-based approach to service provision.
    On a personal note, while our aquatic center has closed (I swam a lot, meeting your guidelines), we received a gift of a rescue dog who needs lots of walks around the vineyard – lots of walking! Get a dog? Also 72 doesn’t look that old to me.
    Cheers and stay well.

  • I completely agree that safe walking and cycling infrastructure is important, but disagree that additional infrastructure will make a significant difference to public health. My anecdotal observation is that those that physical activity is important to find a way to do it whether it is at home, in the gym, in parks, on city sidewalks or in nature. Those that don’t sometimes use the lack of infrastructure as an excuse. While I haven’t followed it closely, I have generally been unimpressed with the research that tries to identify causality between the design of the urban environment and public health. To be clear, I am not against investment in non-motorized infrastructure, but think planners should be more realistic in their expectations from it (I don’t believe such investment, by itself, will make significant difference in travel behavior let alone in public health).

    * Outside my work, I consider myself an endurance athlete and as such have many years and thousands of miles cycling on urban, sub-urban and rural roads (mostly “recreationally” but also for commuting purposes).

  • Alan, I am happy to hear of your recovery (and your wife’s). I look forward to the next time I see you in person.